Valence
Winter 2026 NewUnified prediction markets trading platform
Valence is a unified trading platform for prediction markets. We provide infrastructure to aggregate and execute contracts across Kalshi, Polymarket, and other platforms, surface arbitrage and mispricing opportunities in real time, and give systematic traders the API and backtesting tools they need to build and execute data-driven strategies on anything.
AI Investor Summary
Valence is building a unified trading platform for prediction markets, aggregating liquidity and surfacing arbitrage opportunities for systematic traders. The team boasts impressive technical and financial backgrounds from top firms like Stripe, Google, and Palantir, and has a prior acquisition history. While the market is growing and the product addresses a clear need, defensibility and concrete traction metrics will be key to watch.
Key Highlights
- ● Founders with strong backgrounds from top tech and finance companies (Stripe, Google, Morgan Stanley, Palantir).
- ● Clear and valuable product proposition addressing fragmentation in prediction markets.
- ● Acquisition by Woven Solutions indicates prior success and market validation.
Risk Factors
- ● Regulatory uncertainty in the prediction markets space.
- ● The implications of the previous acquisition by Woven Solutions need to be fully understood and clarified.
- ● Building a defensible moat in a rapidly evolving and potentially commoditized aggregation space.
- ● Lack of specific traction metrics (revenue, users) at this stage.
Founders
Neo Wang is the co-founder of Valence, a Y Combinator startup focused on revolutionizing trade finance. Prior to Valence, he held significant roles in product and engineering at prominent tech companies, demonstrating a strong track record in building and scaling complex systems. His expertise lies in leveraging technology to solve real-world business challenges, particularly within the financial sector.
Daniel Kasabov-Nouvion is a co-founder of Valence, a Y Combinator startup focused on simplifying trade finance. His background includes experience in finance and technology, with a focus on building scalable solutions for complex industries. He has a proven track record of entrepreneurial success and a deep understanding of the challenges faced by businesses in international trade.
Arthur Zhou is the co-founder of Valence, a Y Combinator startup focused on simplifying trade finance. His background includes experience in finance and technology, with a focus on building innovative solutions for complex industries. He is dedicated to leveraging technology to improve efficiency and accessibility in global trade.
Score Breakdown
Strong technical team with impressive backgrounds from Stripe, Google, Morgan Stanley, and Palantir. Neo Wang's product and engineering experience at Stripe is highly relevant. Daniel Kasabov-Nouvion and Arthur Zhou's combined finance and engineering experience at Morgan Stanley and Palantir is also a significant plus. Stanford CS degrees for all founders indicate strong foundational technical capability. The acquisition of Valence by Woven Solutions, while potentially confusing in the context of a YC Winter 2026 application, suggests prior success or at least significant interest in their work. This acquisition needs clarification regarding its implications for the current Valence venture. [Boost +1: Founder from Google; Founder from Palantir; Founder from Palantir]
The prediction markets space, while niche, is experiencing growth and has significant TAM potential as it matures and gains broader adoption. Regulatory tailwinds are uncertain but could become tailwinds if clarity emerges. The timing is interesting as these markets are still relatively nascent but gaining traction. The competitive landscape is fragmented, with Valence aiming to unify it, which is a strong value proposition. [Boost +0.5: Hot sector: fintech]
The product's core value proposition of unifying disparate prediction markets and surfacing arbitrage opportunities is technically challenging and valuable. The focus on systematic traders with API and backtesting tools is a smart niche. However, the defensibility and moat are not yet clearly established beyond the aggregation and execution layer. The UX quality is unknown from the description. Platform potential is high if they can become the de facto infrastructure for this market.
Early stage with no specific revenue or user numbers provided. The positive press coverage and YC application are good indicators of early interest. The acquisition by Woven Solutions is a significant positive signal, but its impact on current traction needs to be understood. Without more concrete metrics, traction remains a developing area. [Boost +2: Tier-1 VC: accel]
News
Valence is a unified trading platform for prediction markets that has demonstrated significant traction with over $200M in monthly volume and 1B+ contracts traded, backed by a strong founding team with elite quant finance internships.
Valence provides a customizable trading terminal and unified execution across prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, offering features for both manual and automated trading.
Valence has launched its 'Prediction Markets Superapp,' providing a single interface to trade across various prediction market exchanges like Kalshi and Polymarket.
Valence is building a unified trading platform for prediction markets, offering infrastructure to aggregate and execute contracts across various platforms with real-time arbitrage opportunities and API access for systematic traders.
Woven Solutions, a provider of AI-enabled mission software for the National Security community, has acquired Valence, a strategy and capabilities firm specializing in mission planning and operational technology integration.
Valence is launching as a trading superapp for prediction markets, offering a unified interface and API to trade across multiple exchanges, monitor P&L, and execute strategies.
Valence offers a unified trading platform for prediction markets, enabling users to trade across multiple exchanges from a single interface with customizable terminals, APIs, and execution infrastructure.
Valence is a unified prediction markets trading platform that has demonstrated significant traction with over $200M in monthly volume and 1B+ contracts traded, backed by a strong founding team with elite quant finance internships.
Valence has launched a new trading superapp designed for prediction markets, allowing users to trade and execute strategies across multiple exchanges through a single interface with a unified orderbook and API.
Valence is a unified trading platform for prediction markets, providing infrastructure to aggregate and execute contracts across various platforms, surface arbitrage opportunities, and offer API and backtesting tools for systematic traders.
Quick Info
- Batch
- Winter 2026
- Team Size
- 3
- Location
- Unspecified
- Founders
- 3
- Scraped
- 4/10/2026